Cryptocurrency market

KIP Protocol co-founder Julian Peh will meet with the President of Argentina in October to explore the entire South American cryptocurrency market

ChainCatcher news, KIP Protocol has become a sponsor of the 2024 Argentina Technology Forum. Co-founder and CEO Julian Peh will meet with Argentine President Milei and serve as a keynote speaker; co-founder and Chief AI Strategist Dr. Jennifer will also participate in a high-profile panel discussion with other industry leaders on the topic "AI and applications of AI-for education, institutions, and governments."Taking this opportunity, KIP is expanding its influence into the vast Argentine and South American markets. The Argentine government's friendly policies towards cryptocurrency provide an ideal environment for KIP to accelerate its layout: KIP plans to leverage its strong funding and leading technology to promote the practical application of decentralized AI, providing efficient and secure AI + Web3 solutions for millions of users in Argentina. KIP's market strategy perfectly aligns with the rapid development of Argentina's digital economy, and its future development prospects are highly anticipated.The Argentina Technology Forum is the most important and cutting-edge technology forum in Argentina, attracting participation from top global companies and cryptocurrency platforms, with sponsors including industry giants such as Binance, OKX, Bybit, and Render Network. Argentina, as one of the world's most important cryptocurrency markets, has over 10 million cryptocurrency asset accounts, with a market size comparable to traditional capital markets, showing tremendous potential. Since taking office at the end of 2023, current Argentine President Javier Milei has maintained a positive attitude towards cryptocurrency. KIP's appearance at this forum showcases its forward-looking layout in the global cryptocurrency and decentralized AI fields.

JPMorgan: The crypto market is in a wait-and-see mode, awaiting clearer macroeconomic or structural catalysts

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, JPMorgan analysts have pointed out several key factors that may affect the cryptocurrency market in the coming months, mentioning technologies, geopolitical issues, and structural events that could drive price volatility. In a research report released on Monday, analysts discussed the seasonal "Uptober" trend, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the approval of Bitcoin ETF options, and the upcoming Ethereum upgrade known as Pectra.One key conclusion of the report is that October has historically shown strong performance, often referred to as "Uptober," with over 70% of Octobers yielding positive returns for Bitcoin. The analysts wrote, "Although past performance is not indicative of future results, we believe the popularity of 'Uptober' could influence behavior and lead to positive Bitcoin performance this October." Despite the recent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the analysts noted that the broader cryptocurrency market has yet to see the anticipated positive effects; while a rate-cutting environment typically supports risk assets, the correlation between total cryptocurrency market capitalization and the federal funds rate remains weak at 0.46. Since the Fed's rate cut on September 18, we have not seen a significant rise in cryptocurrency prices due to the cuts, and the market may be waiting for more sustained stability before making a decisive shift.Additionally, the analysts acknowledged that it is difficult to accurately predict how cryptocurrencies will respond to interest rate cycles due to a lack of historical data. Another potential catalyst is the recently approved spot Bitcoin ETF options trading. The analysts expect this could deepen market liquidity and attract new participants. This development could initiate a positive feedback loop, enhancing market structure and making digital assets more accessible to institutional investors. The upcoming Ethereum upgrade, referred to as "Pectra," is also seen as a significant development.The analysts stated, "While Pectra is expected to have a transformative impact on Ethereum's functionality, we believe this upgrade is more structural than a direct price catalyst. The long-term impact of Pectra will be to improve Ethereum's operational efficiency and adoption rates, but it is unlikely to trigger a short-term surge in Ether prices."The analysts concluded that the cryptocurrency market is currently in a wait-and-see mode, looking for clearer macroeconomic or structural catalysts to drive sustained growth. They stated, "We continue to see the crypto ecosystem becoming increasingly sensitive to macro factors, so we are waiting for the next major catalyst to drive the ecosystem's development and enhance retail participation for long-term growth."

Analysis: A-shares are siphoning funds from the cryptocurrency market, but the upward momentum is hard to sustain

ChainCatcher news, recently, the Chinese stock market has rebounded under the impetus of government stimulus policies, but this rise may be siphoning off funds from the crypto market, affecting the rise of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Since September 24, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by more than 20%, reaching a new high since May 2023. However, the price of Bitcoin has remained around $64,000 after China's stimulus policies, maintaining a consolidation period of $50,000 to $70,000 for six months.Market observers point out that despite the Chinese government launching an economic stimulus plan exceeding 7.5 trillion yuan, which is widely seen as a super positive news for Bitcoin and other risk assets, the price of Bitcoin has not seen a significant increase. Danny Chong, co-founder of the Singapore Digital Asset Association, stated that this capital shift may be temporary, and once the upward trend in the Chinese stock market stabilizes, funds are expected to flow back into the crypto market.Traditional market analysts believe that China's latest stimulus measures have not addressed fundamental economic issues and may not lead to a long-term rise in the stock market. TS Lombard noted in a report on October 2 that unless some fundamental issues, such as fixing the banks' balance sheets, are resolved, any attempts to increase lending and leverage risk-taking may fail. BCA Research also stated that the rise in the Chinese stock market may not be sustainable.

4E: This week focuses on the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and the U.S. September CPI data

ChainCatcher news, last Friday, the U.S. non-farm payrolls for September unexpectedly surged by 254,000, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped to 4.1%, solidifying expectations for a healthy economic soft landing and prompting the market to retract bets on a significant interest rate cut in November.According to 4E observations, buoyed by expectations of an economic soft landing, U.S. stocks opened higher and closed up on Friday, with the S&P 500 rising 0.90%, gaining 0.22% for the week, the Nasdaq up 1.22%, with a weekly increase of 0.1%, and the Dow Jones up 0.81%, with a slight weekly gain of 0.09%. The China concept index rose over 3% and gained nearly 12% for the week. The cryptocurrency market followed the rise in U.S. stocks, with Bitcoin climbing back above $63,000, closing at 63,859, narrowing its weekly decline to 1.03%, while Ethereum reported 2,507, with a weekly decline narrowed to 4.18%. In the foreign exchange and commodities market, safe-haven demand and favorable economic data drove the dollar index to rise for five consecutive days this week, reaching a seven-week high, while non-U.S. currencies fell broadly, with the euro down 1.8% against the dollar for the week and the pound down 2%. The robust employment data eliminated expectations for a significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November, leading to a rebound in the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields, which put continuous pressure on gold prices, with spot gold declining 0.5% for the week, ending a three-week streak of gains. The market continues to worry about the escalation of conflicts in the Middle East leading to supply disruptions, with oil prices rising for five consecutive days, and Brent crude increasing over 9% for the week.This week, the market focus is mainly on the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes, the publication of U.S. inflation data for September, and earnings reports from major banks, which will provide important economic clues for the market. Additionally, attention should be paid to the developments in the Middle East situation. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, commodities like gold, and foreign exchange. Recently, it launched a USDT stablecoin wealth management product with an annualized yield of 5.5%, providing investors with a potential safe-haven option. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.

HashKey Jeffrey: Hong Kong stocks continue to soar, as the world falls into a liquidity scramble

ChainCatcher news, HashKey Jeffrey stated that since the U.S. interest rate cut, the global securities market has seen a glimmer of recovery. Following the A-share market, the Hong Kong stock market has also experienced a rare trading frenzy. According to today's closing data, the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index soared by 6.2%, with the technology index skyrocketing by 8.5%. Since September 11, the Hang Seng Index has almost risen in a straight line, currently reaching 22,448 points, approaching the 22,689 points set on January 27, 2023, marking the highest point in nearly 31 months.The trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market has exceeded one trillion for several consecutive days, with a massive influx of buy orders, leading to trading delays on the exchange's servers, a situation reminiscent of 2015. The significant price increase has strong support from trading volume, which is a clear bullish signal indicating that investors are flocking to join this trend reversal, suggesting that the turning point from bear to bull market may have arrived.What does this mean for the crypto market? Will the crypto market continue to be "bled dry," or will it see a widespread rally? Currently, the Hong Kong stock market is recovering first, and the mainland securities market is also rising due to policy reasons, but the U.S. stock market, Japanese stock market, and the cryptocurrency market have all seen declines in the past two days due to capital diversion. Historical data shows that the massive liquidity from U.S. interest rate cuts tends to lead to a general economic recovery, but funds will first flow into markets with higher returns. In the initial period, the effects of the interest rate cut may not have fully radiated, and countries may adopt certain policy measures to compete for liquidity; the current "bleeding" phenomenon may just be a manifestation of liquidity competition among different markets before the effects of the interest rate cut spread.
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