OKG Research: Expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts rise, crypto market liquidity may迎来关键利好

ChainCatcher news, according to the OKG Research analysis from OKChain, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision to be announced at 2:00 AM (Beijing time) on Thursday is viewed by the market as the "final warning" for a rate cut. This Federal Reserve policy meeting will have a crucial impact on the liquidity situation of the crypto market in the second half of the year.

According to the latest data from CME FedWatch, there is a high level of consensus in the market regarding the expectation of a rate cut on September 18, with a 100% probability of a rate cut. Specifically, the probability of at least a 25 basis point cut is as high as 89.6%, while the probability of a 50 basis point cut has also risen to 10.1%.

Compared to the CME FedWatch data from July 16, recent traders' optimism regarding at least a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed in September has significantly increased (from a 6.7% possibility to the current 10.1%). This change not only reflects the market's cautious attitude towards the economic outlook but also suggests that global financial markets, including the crypto market, may be entering a new round of liquidity easing.