Goldman Sachs lowers U.S. economic growth forecast and raises recession expectations
ChainCatcher message, Goldman Sachs: Downgraded the U.S. GDP growth forecast for Q4 2025 to 0.5% and raised the 12-month recession probability from 35% to 45%, due to a sharp tightening of financial conditions, foreign consumer resistance, and a continued surge in policy uncertainty, which could suppress capital spending, potentially exceeding our previous assumptions.
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