Guotai Junan Securities initiates a "Buy" rating on HashKey HLDGS, citing its significant compliance advantages

Guotai Junan Securities released a research report stating that HashKey HLDGS (03887.HK), as a leading licensed digital asset company in Hong Kong, is initiating coverage with a "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 10.14.

The core logic is based on three points: first, the company holds a full license from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) under categories 1/7/9, with a market share exceeding 75% and significant compliance barriers; second, institutional business accounts for 85.5%, with Omnibus client trading volume increasing nearly fivefold, and the proportion of institutional revenue is expected to rise significantly to 68% in H1 2025; third, the development of digital asset ETFs is driving institutional demand, and the company's integrated ecosystem (trading + on-chain services + asset management) creates a competitive advantage.

In terms of finance, it is estimated that revenue will reach HKD 782 million, HKD 1.211 billion, and HKD 2.338 billion in 2025-2027, with net profit losses gradually narrowing (HKD -1.084 billion, -0.717 billion, -0.047 billion). Using the PS valuation method and referencing comparable companies like Coinbase, a 12x PS is applied, corresponding to a market value of HKD 28.1 billion.