MegaETH officially announces the TGE date, with a current probability of 95% for the token issuance on that day on Polymarket

MegaETH announced that the TGE will take place on April 30, and the probability of "MegaETH issuing tokens before April 30" on Polymarket is currently 95%, which may be related to the settlement rules.

The market settlement rule states that if MegaETH officially launches the governance token before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the specified date, the prediction market result will be determined as "yes"; otherwise, it will be determined as "no." Another key rule is "the token must be publicly transferable and tradable; merely issuing a related announcement does not meet the determination criteria," which may cause the probability to not reach 100%. Odaily Seer’s prophet channel continues to monitor the prediction market and sees changes before pricing.