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Сообщение ChainCatcher, согласно Cryptopolitan, децентрализованный агрегатор экосистемы Solana Jupiter запустил прогнозный рынок Forecast, который является первым нативным прогнозным рынком на Solana. В отличие от традиционной модели, основанной на едином пуле ликвидности, Forecast позволяет специализированным автоматическим маркет-мейкерам делать независимые котировки, а система сопоставляет пользователей с текущими наиболее конкурентоспособными предложениями.Этот продукт будет интегрирован в существующий интерфейс Jup Predict от Jupiter, на первом этапе будет запущен рынок краткосрочных прогнозов цен на криптовалюту с 15-минутным окном, в дальнейшем планируется расширение на другие типы. Jupiter заявляет, что Forecast и партнер Polymarket не являются конкурентами, а представляют собой дополнительную инфраструктуру для обеспечения ликвидности. Каждый прогнозный рынок, созданный через платформу Forecast, будет выпускать свой собственный нативный токен для упрощения интеграции.

In April, the CPI in the United States increased by 3.8% year-on-year, reaching a new high since May 2023, exceeding the market expectation of 3.7%. Previously, on May 8, Bank of America economists stated in a report to clients that due to inflationary pressures remaining above expectations and robust job growth, they have abandoned their earlier predictions of rate cuts in September and October this year, postponing the first rate cut to the second half of 2027.The previous view was based on the expectation that Trump would nominate Kevin Warsh to replace Powell as the chairman of the Federal Reserve, leading to a more accommodative policy. However, with changes in the economic situation, this view has shifted. The report mentioned, "We no longer expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates this year." They also pointed out that multiple shock factors affecting the economy, including the war in Iran, tariffs, and the rise of artificial intelligence, have made predicting interest rate changes more difficult.

Fluid released a recap of the Resolv incident, stating that on March 22, Resolv was compromised due to an attack on its signature infrastructure, resulting in the malicious issuance of approximately $80 million in unsecured USR. Fluid faced a risk exposure of about $100 million, leading to approximately $21 million in bad debt. The final plan is as follows: Resolv will bear about $9.7 million, the Fluid governance treasury will bear $8.2 million, the team will bear $1.5 million, and the remaining USR within the protocol has been destroyed by Resolv at the contract level.Fluid stated that its smart contracts were not breached, all user funds are safe, and the protocol maintains full solvency. In addition, Fluid has upgraded its oracle and pricing risk control systems and will suspend buybacks, significantly reduce, or eliminate FLUID incentives.

Binance Alpha's Box airdrop has begun, and the airdrop pool includes tokens from three projects: TAC Protocol (TAC), Recall (RECALL), and CARV (CARV). Users holding at least 240 Alpha points can claim a one-time token airdrop.After claiming, users will be assigned to different reward tiers and receive one of the following rewards: 1870, 2340, or 6670 TAC tokens; 575, 715, or 2045 RECALL tokens; 510, 640, or 1820 CARV tokens. Rewards are distributed on a first-come, first-served basis.If the rewards are not fully distributed, the point threshold will automatically decrease by 5 points every 5 minutes.Please note that claiming the airdrop will consume 15 Alpha points. Users must confirm their claim on the Alpha Events page within 24 hours; otherwise, it will be considered that the user has forfeited the airdrop.

UBS stated that it has lowered its gold price forecast for the end of June to $5,200 per ounce, citing a cooling in investor demand amid increased market volatility.

According to Jinshi reports, Interactive Investor analyst Richard Hunter stated in a report that as some markets in Europe, Asia, and the Americas are about to welcome the Easter long weekend, investors may face further sell-offs of risk assets such as stocks and corporate bonds for precautionary reasons.He pointed out that traders are unlikely to hold positions before the long weekend, as they have been caught off guard by sudden events multiple times before. U.S. President Trump warned in a national address on Wednesday that the Middle East conflict could escalate in the next two to three weeks, leading to a decline in market risk appetite.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Milan stated that due to the impact of oil, the overall inflation rate forecast for this year has been raised to 2.7%.

According to Jinshi Data, Goldman Sachs stated that the recent decline in gold prices is generally consistent with past trends, noting that the increase in interest rate expectations and market volatility are the main factors leading to the price drop.The co-head of the global commodities research department, Damien Courvalin, said on Wednesday, "Given our current pricing framework, this decline is not surprising." He pointed out that the rise in interest rate expectations has impacted investor demand, particularly through ETFs. Extreme market pressure can also affect gold prices, as investors facing margin calls often sell gold along with other assets.He also noted that the recent rise in gold prices has exceeded fundamental expectations, with some of the pullback reflecting "a certain degree of normalization." However, Goldman Sachs maintains its overall optimistic outlook, expecting gold prices to reach $5,400 by the end of the year. The reasoning is supported by the ongoing central bank purchases of gold as countries seek to diversify their assets (i.e., shifting towards assets with "lower political and financial risks").

JPMorgan has lowered its year-end target for the S&P 500 index from 7500 points to 7200 points, citing that the conflict in Iran has caused a surge in oil prices, which has intensified the risk of economic recession. The bank warned that the market may be underestimating the impact of rising energy costs on the economy.While investors are focused on inflation, JPMorgan believes that the greater threat is to consumer demand, which could weaken economic growth. Historically, oil prices rising by more than 30% often lead to a contraction in demand and are frequently a precursor to economic recessions. In the short term, the S&P 500 index may decline further, especially after breaking below the 200-day moving average—this is a bearish signal. If the sell-off continues, the index may find support around 6000-6200 points.Although JPMorgan still expects an economic recovery later this year supported by investments and stimulus measures, the extent of the recovery may be more limited due to ongoing geopolitical risks.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the higher GDP forecast reflects confidence in productivity.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that part of the reason for the upward revision of inflation forecasts is due to oil shocks, but it also reflects that inflation progress has not met expectations.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the median forecast for the interest rate path has not changed, but there has been a significant increase in the number of people leaning towards fewer rate cuts.

According to Jinshi reports, the Federal Reserve has raised its GDP growth forecast, increased the PCE and core PCE inflation expectations for this year and next, raised the unemployment rate forecast for next year, and raised the long-term federal funds rate expectation.

According to Jin Shi reports, the Federal Reserve FOMC released economic forecasts, expecting the median core PCE inflation expectations at the end of 2026, 2027, and 2028 to be 2.7%, 2.2%, and 2%, respectively. In contrast, the expectations in December were 2.5%, 2.1%, and 2%.

According to Jinshi reports, Bank of America stated that the Federal Reserve will have to deal with another round of supply shocks—rising oil prices. In the economic forecast summary released before the March Federal Reserve meeting, overall and core inflation forecasts may be revised upward. The Bank of America report indicated that if long-term growth expectations are also revised upward, the median long-term interest rate dot plot may shift slightly higher. The bank believes that Powell may acknowledge the risk of stagflation while emphasizing a wait-and-see approach.

According to official news, the Base ecological trend prediction platform Noise has now opened the waiting list for applications.In January of this year, Noise, a tool for attention markets building a platform for prediction market-related information, announced the completion of a $7.1 million seed round financing, led by Paradigm. Previously, the company also received investment support from Figment Capital, Anagram, as well as GSR, JPEG Trading, and KaitoAI.It is reported that the Noise testnet launched its beta version last May, limited to invited users, attracting over 1,300 users who utilized social media data provided by Kaito to make predictions in an attention market tracking 14 cryptocurrency topics.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve officials stated that they will continue to raise interest rates if the objective possibility of achieving economic and price forecasts improves.

According to Jinshi News, TD Securities has postponed its prediction for the next Federal Reserve rate cut from March to June, still expecting a total rate cut of 75 basis points this year, bringing the terminal rate down to 3%. The agency anticipates that the Federal Reserve will implement a 25 basis point cut in June, September, and December. TD Securities' Chief U.S. Macro Strategist Oscar Munoz stated that the anticipated policy easing is not due to a deterioration in economic conditions, but rather a result of monetary policy moving towards "normalization" as inflation gradually returns to target levels.

According to market news, Standard Chartered Bank has lowered its short-term price expectations for Solana in its latest research report, while significantly raising its long-term forecast.The bank has reduced its target price for SOL at the end of 2026 from $310 to $250, but expects it to reach $2000 by the end of 2030. The report notes that Solana's decentralized exchange activity is shifting from meme coin trading to SOL-stablecoin trading pairs, with its stablecoin turnover being 2 to 3 times faster than Ethereum, indicating different use cases; Solana's "ultra-low-cost, fast, and reliable trading model" will enable it to dominate areas that require high throughput and low transaction costs, particularly in the micropayment sector driven by AI protocols like x402.