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Glassnode:链上指标显示 BTC 或接近周期底部,盈亏筹码趋于收敛

2026-02-04 20:14:57
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ChainCatcher 消息,据 Glassnode 数据显示,目前约有 1,110 万枚 BTC 处于盈利状态(即买入成本低于当前市场价格),约 890 万枚 BTC 处于亏损状态。

随着两者差距持续收窄,BTC 盈利供应量与亏损供应量对比(Supply in Profit vs Supply in Loss)指标正接近历史上多次出现的关键收敛区间,该指标用于衡量当前处于账面盈利状态的钱包数量与处于亏损状态的钱包数量。

当两者逐步趋于平衡时,历史上往往对应市场阶段性底部区域,被视为市场投降与长期布局机会的重要信号,若盈利与亏损供应进一步收敛,可能意味着市场正进入历史上常见的周期底部构建阶段,但仍需结合宏观流动性、衍生品结构及市场情绪等因素综合判断。

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