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彭博社分析师:误判比特币 ETF 可降低市场波动性,高波动高风险资产属性仍将持续

2026-02-07 23:37:37
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ChainCatcher 消息,彭博社高级 ETF 分析师 Eric Balchunas 在 X 平台发文表示,此前判断比特币 ETF 投资者结构将强于市场预期这一点目前仍基本成立,但其曾预计 ETF 资金将降低市场剧烈波动,这一判断被证明是错误的。

Eric Balchunas 称,其原本认为 ETF 零售资金将替代 FTX 事件前的高投机散户,从而提升市场稳定性,但未充分考虑到早期持有者(OG)在高位集中减仓带来的抛压影响,同时指出比特币在两年内上涨约 450%本身也是潜在风险信号,涨幅过快往往伴随高波动,因此在可预见的未来比特币高波动高风险资产这一属性仍将持续。

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