BTC $81,438.05 +0.29%
ETH $2,414.81 +0.05%
BNB $714.84 -0.92%
XRP $1.30 -0.59%
SOL $103.57 -0.40%
TRX $0.3345 +0.11%
DOGE $0.0794 -0.65%
ADA $0.2213 -0.91%
BCH $273.98 +0.04%
LINK $11.99 -2.67%
HYPE $78.86 -0.89%
AAVE $152.07 -1.93%
SUI $0.9822 -3.03%
XLM $0.1779 -1.31%
ZEC $1,132.41 -1.27%
AAPL $343.25 +0.17%
AMZN $249.38 -0.00%
GOOGL $339.40 -0.23%
MSFT $527.40 -0.03%
META $707.51 +0.07%
NVDA $214.44 -0.19%
TSLA $351.83 -0.16%
SNDK $1,296.99 -1.99%
INTC $89.42 -1.27%
SPCX $145.56 +0.75%
MU $876.21 -1.79%
AMD $530.38 -0.75%
BTC $81,438.05 +0.29%
ETH $2,414.81 +0.05%
BNB $714.84 -0.92%
XRP $1.30 -0.59%
SOL $103.57 -0.40%
TRX $0.3345 +0.11%
DOGE $0.0794 -0.65%
ADA $0.2213 -0.91%
BCH $273.98 +0.04%
LINK $11.99 -2.67%
HYPE $78.86 -0.89%
AAVE $152.07 -1.93%
SUI $0.9822 -3.03%
XLM $0.1779 -1.31%
ZEC $1,132.41 -1.27%
AAPL $343.25 +0.17%
AMZN $249.38 -0.00%
GOOGL $339.40 -0.23%
MSFT $527.40 -0.03%
META $707.51 +0.07%
NVDA $214.44 -0.19%
TSLA $351.83 -0.16%
SNDK $1,296.99 -1.99%
INTC $89.42 -1.27%
SPCX $145.56 +0.75%
MU $876.21 -1.79%
AMD $530.38 -0.75%

分析:美联储决议前比特币走出相对独立行情,与美元指数和美股相关性减弱

2026-09-16 19:25:03

ChainCatcher 消息,据 CoinDesk 报道,比特币在美联储利率决议公布前走出相对独立行情,与美元指数及美股的短期相关性显著下降。CoinMarketCap 研究主管 Alice Liu 表示,比特币与美元指数的短期相关系数降至 0.08,而过去 30 日为 -0.54;其与标普 500 指数及纳斯达克指数的相关系数分别降至 0.43 和 0.3,前一日分别为 0.75 和 0.6。

Liu 认为,市场近期将注意力转向《CLARITY 法案》,该法案周二未能通过参议院关键程序性投票,令监管进展暂时盖过宏观因素。随着相关性减弱,通过做空标普 500 指数期货对冲比特币多头敞口的策略目前可靠性下降。市场普遍预计美联储将加息 25 个基点,该情形已基本计价。

此次决议将检验比特币能否重新建立与美元和美股的联动;交易员还需关注会后指引及美债收益率波动,后者若明显上升,可能收紧金融条件并推动加密市场出现避险资金流动。

app_icon
ChainCatcher 与创新者共建Web3世界