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LINK $9.15 -5.18%
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ZEC $908.38 -0.18%
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MU $760.25 -0.46%
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分析师:比特币短期持有者整体亏损占比升至 73%,套牢盘或持续压制反弹

2026-11-15 13:07:00

ChainCatcher 消息,加密分析师 Murphy 发文称,比特币本轮回调已将短期持有者的亏损筹码占比(STH-PSIL)推高至 73%。作为对比,上一轮在加息与传统银行业危机叠加的背景下,该指标在第一轮回调时为 51%,第二轮升至 67%。

Murphy 将本轮走势称为“天坑开局”,认为其与 2019 年至 2020 年的行情有些相似。2019 年第一轮回调中,该指标一度升至 97%,此后市场花了约一年才走出低迷。Murphy 认为,当前没有必要过度悲观,但投资者信心已受损,上方大量套牢筹码可能在价格反弹至关键位置时持续形成卖压,本轮修复难度或高于 2019 年。他表示,自己在 2 月至 6 月重仓买入 BTC,尽管当前价格已接近其持仓成本,仍没有卖出打算。

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