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4E: The US stock and cryptocurrency markets remain active, with this week's CPI data being crucial for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December

2024-12-09 11:04:40
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ChainCatcher news, data released last Friday showed that non-farm employment was better than expected, and the unemployment rate slightly increased, reinforcing expectations for a rate cut in December, with the market estimating the likelihood of a rate cut in December rising to around 85%.

According to 4E monitoring, last week, the surge in tech stocks pushed major U.S. stock indices to new highs, with the Nasdaq soaring over 3%, and the S&P 500 index rising nearly 1%. Both the Nasdaq and S&P reached new historical highs, while the Dow Jones was the only index to decline, falling about 0.5%.

The cryptocurrency market is booming, with Bitcoin spot ETF funds experiencing a net inflow for a consecutive week, totaling nearly $2.8 billion. The market capitalization of stablecoins increased by $3.9653 billion, a growth of 2.56%. The strong inflow of funds led to Bitcoin breaking through the $100,000 mark and ETH surpassing the $4,000 level, with altcoins experiencing a comprehensive rally, resulting in several mainstream coins doubling in value. Currently, Bitcoin is consolidating around $100,000, providing opportunities for altcoins.

In the forex commodities sector, the U.S. dollar continued to strengthen last week. After the non-farm data was released, the dollar significantly dropped but eventually turned upward, accumulating a weekly gain of 0.22%. The rise of the dollar limited the upward space for gold prices, but expectations of a rate cut provided support for prices, causing gold to fluctuate within a narrow range, with overall market sentiment being cautious. Oil prices fell for three consecutive days last week due to concerns over oversupply, with West Texas Intermediate crude oil dropping 1.17% for the week and Brent crude oil declining 1%.

Recent data suggests that the progress of U.S. anti-inflation efforts may be stalling, and the CPI data to be released this Wednesday will be a determining factor for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision this month. The market expects an approximately 85% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points on December 18. However, expectations for fewer rate cuts next year are continuing to strengthen.

Additionally, as the year-end approaches, large investment institutions are facing portfolio rebalancing to accommodate year-end reporting and tax issues, which may create a short-term liquidity shock in the U.S. stock market, potentially being the largest adverse factor in the near term, expected to suppress risk assets. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, gold commodities, and forex, recently launching a USDT stablecoin financial product with an annualized yield of 5.5%, providing investors with potential hedging options. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and to allocate assets reasonably.

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