Data: The probability of predicting "the United States establishing a Bitcoin national reserve by 2025" on Polymarket is currently reported at 51%
ChainCatcher message, the probability of predicting "the United States will establish a Bitcoin national reserve by 2025" on Polymarket has reached 51%, down about 14% from the previous high of 65%. Currently, the total amount of bets on this prediction has reached $581,400, with a deadline of December 31, 2025.
The criterion is that the U.S. government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves, excluding Bitcoin seized by the U.S. government. The main sources for determination will be official information from the U.S. government or the Federal Reserve, and credible reports with consensus recognition will also be referenced.

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