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Before the release of non-farm payroll data, the market consensus was an increase of 170,000 jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.1%

2025-02-07 21:27:02

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, based on the expectations of major investment banks, the forecast range for non-farm payrolls is between 60,000 and 250,000, with most expectations concentrated in the range of 140,000 to 200,000, and the market consensus is an increase of 170,000;

The market consensus for the unemployment rate is 4.1% (accounting for 68%), followed by 4.2% (accounting for 24%), 4.0% (accounting for 6%), and 4.3% and 4.5% (accounting for 1% each);

The market consensus for the year-on-year average hourly wage growth rate is 3.8% (accounting for 49%), followed by 3.7% and 3.9% (accounting for 28% and 14% respectively);

The market consensus for the month-on-month average hourly wage growth rate is 0.3% (accounting for 75%), followed by 0.4% (accounting for 21%).

When the data falls within a less expected range, its impact on the market is greater.

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