Opinion: Quantum computing may break the Bitcoin algorithm within three years

According to the Quantum Doomsday Clock, quantum computing may crack the Bitcoin encryption system on March 8, 2028. Research indicates that breaking ECC-256 requires only 1,673 logical qubits, while RSA-2048 requires 2,314.

IBM's Chief Technology Officer Michael Osborne stated that the growth rate of quantum risk is exceeding expectations, and IBM's Starling project plans to build a fault-tolerant quantum computer by 2029. Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko warned that blockchain networks must migrate to quantum-resistant encryption technology within 5 years.