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The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose in November, and U.S. Treasury yields generally fell

2025-12-16 22:12:46

According to Jinshi News, John Briggs, head of U.S. interest rate strategy at the French foreign trade bank's North American branch, stated that the unemployment rate rose to 4.6% in November, the highest level since 2021. This has strengthened market expectations that the Federal Reserve will further cut interest rates in 2026, leading to a slight increase in U.S. Treasury prices, with yields on U.S. Treasuries generally declining across all maturities. The two-year yield fell by 5 basis points to 3.45%, reaching a new low since October 24, while the ten-year yield dropped by 4 basis points to 4.14%. The market expects the probability of a rate cut in January next year to be around 20%.

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