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BTC $77,864.57 +4.93%
ETH $2,450.11 +5.72%
BNB $645.46 +3.26%
XRP $1.50 +5.43%
SOL $90.32 +5.10%
TRX $0.3255 -0.35%
DOGE $0.1019 +5.50%
ADA $0.2657 +5.61%
BCH $458.89 +4.30%
LINK $9.82 +5.17%
HYPE $45.19 +2.80%
AAVE $118.32 +8.74%
SUI $1.03 +6.12%
XLM $0.1766 +8.02%
ZEC $344.72 +3.02%

Analyst: The realized losses caused by Bitcoin's recent pullback have reached a historical high, which may be close to a temporary bottom

2026-02-21 19:05:10
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Cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe stated that the recent pullback in Bitcoin has led to a significant surge in realized losses, reaching an all-time high. This is one of the largest realized loss events in Bitcoin's history, comparable to the 2018 bear market crash, the March 2020 COVID-19 plunge, and the loss peaks during the 2022 Luna/FTX collapse.

A large number of holders are capitulating, either selling at a loss or transferring their BTC while in a losing position. Such extreme loss realization typically indicates panic selling in the market and passive liquidations. Historically, similar large-scale surges in realized losses often occur at or near cyclical bottoms, as this represents the complete clearing out of "weak hands" and high-leverage positions.

It is noteworthy that the Sharpe Ratio has dropped to its lowest level since the last bottom; the market is experiencing a massive capitulation event with extremely high realized losses; market sentiment has nearly reached a freezing point. The only difference this time is that Bitcoin is down about 50% from its historical high, rather than 80%. The bottom is near.

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