Multiple data points indicate that the market has shifted back to a bullish outlook, with Bitcoin potentially rising to $80,000

Multiple data points indicate that $80,000 is the next target for Bitcoin. Bitcoin rose 2.52% on Friday after holding support at the 100-day exponential moving average (100-EMA). Meanwhile, buying volume in the spot market increased, with the cumulative volume delta (CVD) reaching 11,500 BTC, the highest level since February 17.

BTC futures activity is also heating up, with open interest rising 6.64% to 257,000 BTC, indicating new positions are being established. After testing the daily trend over the past two days, Bitcoin rebounded from the 100-day EMA. This pushed the price up 2.52% to $78,800 on Friday, maintaining a solid short-term upward trend. The 100-day EMA, currently acting as dynamic support on the daily chart, suggests that higher time frame charts remain bullish. Spot demand is also strengthening. The CVD tracking net buys and net sells in the spot market reached 11,500 BTC, a new high since February 17, indicating that buyers have absorbed supply during the recent pullback.

Derivatives positions are expanding in sync with prices, showing new participants entering the market. Over the past 24 hours, total open interest rose 6.64% to 257,000 BTC, indicating that new positions are being established while Bitcoin consolidates below $80,000. This follows a recent liquidation of about 9,000 BTC in leverage, suggesting that excess positions have been cleared as the leveraged market rebuilds. Futures volume has returned to 98,300 BTC, signaling a return of net buying pressure. However, it remains below the levels seen during the pullback on April 27. Meanwhile, liquidity continues to accumulate in the $78,000 to $80,000 range, with about $2.1 billion in short positions facing risk, which could trigger a short squeeze near this key level.

Institutional activity is also leaning supportive. The 30-day change in OTC balances has dropped to about -20,700 BTC, comparable to levels in March 2025, with the decline in balances indicating that BTC is flowing out of over-the-counter markets, reducing the immediately available supply. ETF fund flows show a similar pattern, with ETF inflows in April reaching $1.97 billion.