The year-on-year increase in the U.S. April CPI is expected to reach 3.7%, with rental data potentially driving up the core CPI

According to Jinshi reports, the year-on-year increase of the U.S. April CPI is expected to be 3.7%, the largest increase since September 2023, compared to a year-on-year increase of 3.3% in March. The core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, is expected to rise by 0.3%, which may be rounded to 0.4%. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to make a one-time adjustment to rents. Lou Crandall, chief economist at Wrightson ICAP, stated that this will lead to a significant catch-up effect, with the core CPI increase expected to rise by about 0.1 percentage points.