Data: The on-chain profit supply of Bitcoin is approaching the critical threshold of 45%, and the market may face a deep reset

According to the on-chain analysis platform CryptoQuant, the Bitcoin "Profit Supply Percentage" indicator is approaching the critical threshold of 45%. Historical data shows that this level is usually associated with periods of high market pressure and significant capitulation risk. In contrast, during bull market peaks, this indicator often exceeds 90%. Current data indicates that a large number of Bitcoin holdings have shifted from profit to loss, and the market is undergoing a deep expectation reset rather than being in an exuberant phase.

From an on-chain perspective, profit compression often drives the chips to migrate from weak hands to long-term holders, which may exacerbate short-term volatility. However, historically, such redistribution processes help form a healthier market structure, and long-term accumulation opportunities may be emerging.