Analysis: Bitcoin miners are facing continuous pressure from narrowing profit margins, with income falling below production costs

According to The Block, Bitcoin miner revenue continues to decline, with the 7-day moving average dropping to about $30,000,000 per day, down from over $50,000,000 last summer. The contribution from transaction fees has become negligible, at less than $250,000 per day. The current trading price of BTC is about $62,500, significantly lower than JPMorgan's estimated production cost of around $78,000, a gap that has persisted for five months, the longest in this cycle. Production costs have historically been seen as a soft price floor, and currently, about 20% of miners are operating at a loss.

Network-level pressure is becoming evident. Over the past six months, the beta value of mining difficulty relative to BTC price has risen to 0.62, with high-cost miners switching off their machines based on price fluctuations rather than continuing to operate at a loss. In the second week of June, difficulty decreased by 10%, marking the second similar adjustment this year. Publicly listed mining companies have sold over 32,000 BTC in the first quarter to cover operating costs, rather than further reducing production capacity.