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Cboe revives S&P 500 binary options and directly enters the prediction market track, Strive has recently increased its purchase of 759 BTC against the trend according to market data analysis

2026-06-25 10:23:54
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According to BBX data, yesterday traditional derivatives giant made a high-profile entry into the prediction market, and a counter-cyclical signal appeared for digital asset reserve companies. The core dynamics are as follows:

  • Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: $CBOE) announced yesterday the re-launch of binary options products benchmarked to the S&P 500 index ("Yes/No" structure, providing fixed returns or zero at expiration based on contract conditions). This marks Cboe's first return to this category since it withdrew about ten years ago, directly entering the prediction market track pioneered by Polymarket and Kalshi, which has become "one of the fastest-growing areas on the internet." This move signifies that one of the largest regulated derivatives exchanges in the U.S. officially recognizes binary options/prediction markets as an independent asset class, entering the competition with the compliance endorsement of a traditional exchange and institutional distribution capabilities, rather than holding a regulatory exclusion attitude towards this model. For cryptocurrency concept stocks, Cboe's entry has dual implications: first, it further validates the market size and legitimacy of prediction markets; second, Cboe's institutional channels and Coinbase (the only licensed prediction market FCM by the CFTC) will compete in parallel under the same regulatory framework, leading to an increase in the valuation and policy attention of the entire track.

  • Strive, Inc. (NASDAQ: $ASST) was cited in a market analysis report yesterday (pending independent confirmation from the official SEC 8-K document), stating that the company recently increased its holdings by approximately 759 BTC at an average price of about $65,850; based on this calculation, the company's BTC holdings have increased from 19,032 disclosed in the SEC 8-K on June 5 to about 19,791 (approximately $1.17 billion). This increase occurred against the backdrop of Bitcoin continuously declining from the $65,000 to $66,000 range. Strive and Strategy (which also increased its holdings by 520 BTC during the same period) are among the few DAT companies that maintained active purchases during the reporting period; CEO Matt Cole previously positioned the continuous increase in BTC as a "differentiated catch-up" to Strategy's scale advantage rather than a pure directional bet on price. The company holds approximately $139.2 million in cash, and the capital balance between the 9.5% annual dividend obligation of preferred stock (SATA) and BTC purchases is currently the most noteworthy balance sheet risk point.

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