Famous trader: Bitcoin's historical bottom signal reappears, but it may still need to experience several months of sideways movement to complete the bottom formation

Renowned trader Doctor Profit posted that a historical indicator for Bitcoin is signaling that "the bottom has either formed or is very close." In 2015, 2019, and 2022, the bear market bottom formation phase began when the realized price of holders for 3 to 6 months fell below the realized price of holders for 1 to 2 years. He believes this indicates that newer buyers are capitulating and selling at a loss, with Bitcoin gradually transferring to longer-term holders.

Currently, this crossover is appearing for the fourth time, while the BTC price is below the average cost of both categories of holders. However, historically, this signal does not immediately lead to a reversal; Bitcoin typically experiences several months of sideways movement to complete the bottoming process, so this phase can also be seen as a long-term accumulation range. He believes we are currently in the bottom formation and long-term accumulation phase of the bear market. Doctor Profit stated that over the past few weeks, he has been gradually buying BTC in batches within the range of $54,000 to $64,000, continuing to build his position incrementally with 5% of his portfolio each time.