Data: Polymarket "The probability of BTC reaching $80,000 in the remaining period of August" has dropped to 43%, a 19% decrease in 24 hours

PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that the probability of "BTC reaching $80,000 during the remaining period of August" on Polymarket has dropped to 43%, a 19% decrease in 24 hours. Additionally, the probability of rising to $85,000 has decreased to 12%, a 7% drop in 24 hours.

According to the settlement rules, this market is based on the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Within the specified month in the title (from 00:00 on the 1st of the month to 23:59 on the last day, Eastern Time), if the highest price of any 1-minute candlestick equals or exceeds the specified price in the title, it will be settled as Yes immediately; otherwise, it will be No. This market only uses the 1-minute candlestick High price of Binance BTC/USDT, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are not counted.

In terms of market conditions, Bitcoin approached $80,000 on Friday, reaching a high of about $79,500, and then fell back over the weekend, briefly dropping below $76,000, but has now rebounded to around $76,000.