Four Pillars: On-chain experiments are largely shutting down, and corporate product stacks are converging

The researcher from the cryptocurrency research institution Four Pillars, 100y_eth, stated: Many on-chain experiments are shutting down or transforming without proving product-market fit, and this trend will become more evident in 2026. The on-chain market is increasingly polarized, with one side being speculative demand areas such as meme coins, perpetual futures, and prediction markets, while the other side includes stablecoins, RWA, and treasuries related to the real economy.

As viable markets narrow to at least a few categories, companies from different starting points, including Coinbase, Robinhood, MetaMask, and Kalshi, are converging on the same product stack: perpetual futures, prediction markets, meme coins, stablecoins, and RWA. This does not mean the end of on-chain native businesses; new categories can still emerge through experimentation and develop into sustainable markets.