Analyst: The Bitcoin power law model releases signals, and the reference target price may reach $157,800

Cryptocurrency analyst Darkfost stated that over the past decade, the volatility of Bitcoin prices around the "Power Law" trend line is gradually decreasing, and market cycle fluctuations are converging. The oscillation indicator peak has dropped from +169 in 2018 to +102 in 2025, with its daily standard deviation decreasing from 4.81 to 2.47, a decline of about 49%.

Darkfost added that as of the current model's oscillation indicator at +34.5, the Bitcoin price is approximately $84,700. According to the model parameters for that day, an oscillation indicator of +100 corresponds to a Bitcoin price of about $157,800, which is approximately 86% higher than the current price. He also pointed out that $157,800 is not a fixed target price but rather a reference level calculated based on the current regression parameters. If the Power Law trend line continues to rise in the future, this reference price will also increase accordingly.