NVIDIA CEO's "no change" probability rises to 29%, surpassing two internal candidates to take the lead

According to Polymarket data, in the "Next CEO of NVIDIA" prediction market, the probability of the "No Change" option for Jensen Huang has risen from 19% earlier today to 29%, ranking first. NVIDIA's Vice President of High-Performance Computing Ian Buck has dropped to second place with 25%, while Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress ranks third with 23.3%.

According to the rules, "No Change" means that NVIDIA has not announced an official successor before 23:59 Eastern Time on December 31, 2028, and interim CEOs do not count. Therefore, even if Jensen Huang steps down, as long as NVIDIA appoints only an interim CEO within the deadline, this option can still prevail. The 29% is the implied probability of "no official successor announced," not the probability of Jensen Huang staying on in the short term.