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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - LEC Playoffs," the option "Karmine Corp" in the sub-market "First Kill of the Second Game" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win rate, soaring from 50% an hour ago to the current 88.5% (a fluctuation of 38.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the Polymarket event "French Open ATP Sinner vs Berrettini," the sub-market "Match Completion" for the "Yes" option has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 95% an hour ago to the current 50.5% (a fluctuation of 44.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event of "MicroStrategy selling Bitcoin" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "May 31, 2026" experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 11.5% an hour ago to the current 72.2% (a fluctuation of 60.7%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event of "Bitcoin breaking through on June 1" in the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "72,000" has experienced severe fluctuations, plummeting from 85.95% an hour ago to the current 59.6% (a fluctuation of 26.35%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - LPL Playoffs," the "Anyone's Legend" option in the sub-market "Match Winner" has experienced a drastic fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 66.5% an hour ago to the current 15.5% (a fluctuation of 51%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market event "Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs. Zachary Svajda" on Polymarket, the winning probability of the sub-market "Match Completion" for the "Yes" option has experienced a dramatic fluctuation, dropping from 94% an hour ago to the current 50.5% (a fluctuation of 43.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Arkham posted on the X platform, stating that market traders "Surprised-Legacy" could win $200,000 if they correctly predicted that Michael Saylor sold Bitcoin yesterday. The market has not yet settled, as the adjudicating party needs to wait for Strategy's 8-K filing to confirm whether they sold Bitcoin last week.Currently, the market shows an 11% probability that Strategy sold Bitcoin.

According to Cointelegraph, Wintermute stated that it is expanding its institutional trading business into prediction markets. Wintermute will provide two-way market liquidity for event contracts at major venues to reduce spreads, support larger trades, and improve the reliability of market implied probabilities.Jake Ostrovskis, Head of OTC Trading at Wintermute, stated that prediction markets possess data characteristics of major asset classes, but liquidity is still in the early stages. Continuous two-way liquidity can not only narrow spreads but also support larger trading volumes, thereby improving the signals contained in market prices.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, HYPE has reached a historic high and surpassed $72. Loracle (@loraclexyz) has closed over 50% of its HYPE short positions and currently still holds 843,232 HYPE short positions, worth $60.7 million, with an unrealized loss of over $22 million. Meanwhile, a certain whale holds a 5x leveraged long position in HYPE, currently with an unrealized profit of over $46 million.

According to Cointelegraph, the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has seen a net outflow of funds for 9 consecutive trading days, totaling approximately $2.84 billion, setting the longest consecutive decline record since the product's launch in 2024, and surpassing the consecutive outflow record from February 8, 2025. Among them, BlackRock's IBIT has become a major source of outflows.Analysis indicates that this round of capital outflow reflects a significant cooling of institutional demand for Bitcoin ETF exposure, while the market shows a trend of differentiation: ETFs related to Hyperliquid and some XRP spot ETFs still recorded inflows, while Ethereum spot ETFs have faced outflows for 13 consecutive days, with a total outflow of approximately $694 million, indicating that capital in crypto asset ETFs is being reallocated.

The French newspaper "Le Monde" revealed that there has been new progress in the investigation of a cryptocurrency-related kidnapping case that occurred in 2023. French law enforcement discovered a transnational money laundering network involving multiple countries and cryptocurrency wallets while tracing the flow of a €1.7 million cryptocurrency ransom. The victim was the father of the well-known crypto influencer "TeufeurS." The kidnappers threatened the victim's family via text messages and demanded ransom payment in cryptocurrency. Ultimately, TeufeurS transferred a total of €1.7 million to the kidnappers' designated wallet in two installments, after which his father was released.The investigation showed that part of the ransom flowed into wallet accounts controlled by foreign nationals after multiple transfers. One transfer of $131,000 was successfully traced by the French gendarmerie, with leads ultimately pointing to a cryptocurrency wallet controlled by Venezuelan nationals. The case further revealed the complex chain of money laundering utilized by criminal organizations through cross-border cryptocurrency transfers, anonymous wallets, and overseas platforms. The report stated that this case is considered one of the significant examples of kidnapping and extortion cases in the European cryptocurrency industry and may serve as an early template for multiple kidnapping cases targeting cryptocurrency practitioners in France and Europe in 2025.

Jason Smith, the chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives' fundraising committee, stated that digital asset tax legislation must receive bipartisan support; otherwise, the related bill process will not advance. Subsequently, U.S. Representatives Steven Horsford, Max Miller, Suzan DelBene, and Mike Carey jointly proposed the "Digital Asset Protection, Accountability, Regulation, Innovation, Taxation, and Revenue Act" (PARITY Act). The bill aims to update digital asset tax rules, provide a clearer regulatory framework for the market, while enhancing investor protection and preventing market manipulation.Representative Steven Horsford stated that the bill will help ordinary investors participate more safely in the digital asset market and promote wealth accumulation opportunities. Max Miller believes that the current U.S. tax laws are unable to adapt to the rapid development of digital assets and modern financial technology. Currently, the PARITY Act and the advancing CLARITY Act are seen as important components of establishing a comprehensive regulatory system for crypto assets in the United States.The U.S. Congress released a tax policy discussion draft in March this year and held a bipartisan roundtable in May to discuss the tax framework for crypto assets. The market is closely watching whether the CLARITY Act can be passed by 2026. Analysts believe that if both the CLARITY Act and the PARITY Act are ultimately legislated and combined with the subsequent rule-making of the GENIUS Act, the U.S. crypto industry will welcome a clearer regulatory environment, further promoting Web3 and DeFi into the mainstream financial system.

According to an official announcement from Coinbase, Coinbase Financial Markets has become the first and only futures commission merchant (FCM) regulated by the CFTC in the United States, officially providing U.S. institutional clients with access to the global cryptocurrency derivatives market.Previously, U.S. users lacked compliant channels to access the global cryptocurrency derivatives market (which accounts for about 80% of global cryptocurrency trading volume). Currently, the open interest in Deribit Bitcoin options has exceeded $31 billion.With this launch, institutional clients can access international platforms such as Deribit through a single compliant channel, without the need to establish offshore entities. Retail user access services will also be launched soon.

According to The Block, quantitative market maker Wintermute has announced its entry into the prediction market sector, providing two-way quote liquidity services for several mainstream event contract platforms, marking the official expansion of its trading infrastructure into the emerging market at the intersection of crypto and traditional assets.The company stated that it has been continuously providing buy and sell bilateral quotes on multiple "leading platforms," with the total monthly trading volume of these prediction markets exceeding $20 billion this year, indicating that this sector is growing rapidly but still in the early stages of liquidity. Wintermute's annual trading volume exceeds $3.5 trillion, and this expansion further strengthens its cross-asset market-making capabilities.Jake Ostrovskis, head of OTC trading at the company, stated that prediction markets have a demand structure similar to traditional major asset classes, but liquidity is still insufficient, requiring continuous bilateral quotes to enhance price discovery efficiency and trading depth. He pointed out that tighter spreads and greater trading capacity will improve the quality of market probability signals.In the industry, institutions such as Jump Trading and Galaxy Digital have also entered this field, with some platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi having a cumulative trading volume exceeding $150 billion. Analysts believe that Wintermute's entry further promotes the integration of prediction markets and crypto infrastructure, especially in terms of stablecoin settlement, on-chain clearing, and risk management systems, as these markets gradually approach a derivatives-level institutional development structure.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) reach in May 2026?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the sub-market "$85" option "is" has experienced severe fluctuations, dropping from 45.5% an hour ago to the current 27.5% (a fluctuation of 18%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Bitcoin above ___ on May 29?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "yes" option in the sub-market "74,000" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 38.5% an hour ago to the current 22.5% (a fluctuation of 16%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "How many tweets from Elon Musk from May 22 to May 29, 2026?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "160-179" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 86.1% an hour ago to the current 60.45% (a fluctuation of 25.65%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) reach in May 2026?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the sub-market "$85" option "Yes" has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 27.5% an hour ago to the current 43.5% (a fluctuation of 16%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market event "Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox" on Polymarket, the "Over" option in the sub-market "O/U 5.5" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 53.5% an hour ago to the current 79.5% (a fluctuation of 26%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the prediction market Polymarket for the "Thunder vs. Spurs" event, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win probability, dropping from 40% an hour ago to the current 25% (a fluctuation of 15%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.