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wsj

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WSJ: Đợt bùng nổ cổ phiếu chip lưu trữ lần này không gây ra cú sốc hệ thống, S&P 500 chỉ giảm 1.6% so với mức cao lịch sử

ChainCatcher tin tức, theo báo cáo của "Wall Street Journal", thị trường Mỹ trong những năm gần đây thường xuyên xuất hiện bong bóng xung quanh các ngành và chủ đề cụ thể, nhưng những bong bóng cục bộ này thường không kéo theo sự sụt giảm của toàn bộ thị trường chứng khoán.Bong bóng chip lưu trữ trong đợt này đã nhanh chóng mở rộng và vỡ trong khoảng 4 tháng, đi kèm với sự biến động mạnh và một quỹ đầu cơ rơi vào khủng hoảng, nhưng chỉ số S&P 500 vẫn cách đỉnh lịch sử chỉ 1,6%, chỉ số S&P 500 theo trọng số đều tuần trước còn lập kỷ lục mới. Sự điều chỉnh của các cổ phiếu liên quan đến AI hiện cũng gần như đã bị sự tăng trưởng của các lĩnh vực khác hoàn toàn bù đắp.Trong hơn mười năm qua, thị trường Mỹ đã trải qua các bong bóng như in 3D, cổ phiếu ý tưởng Trung Quốc, sản phẩm biến động thấp, SPAC, năng lượng sạch, cần sa, không gian, tài sản tiền điện tử và cổ phiếu ý tưởng AI. Strategy đã giảm 83% so với mức cao nhất, cổ phiếu truyền thông của Trump giảm 89%, SK Hynix đã giảm 55% trước khi phục hồi vào thứ Sáu tuần trước.Tiền tệ nới lỏng, nhu cầu đầu cơ và kỳ vọng vào công nghệ mới đã cùng nhau thúc đẩy những bong bóng này, trong những năm gần đây, nợ ký quỹ và ETF đòn bẩy đã làm gia tăng thêm sự biến động.Những bong bóng cục bộ này không gây ra cú sốc nghiêm trọng cho nền kinh tế, chủ yếu là vì phần lớn không được tài trợ bằng nợ lớn. Sau khi bong bóng vỡ, tổn thất chủ yếu do các nhà đầu tư gánh chịu, hệ thống ngân hàng không bị ảnh hưởng rõ rệt.Nhà chiến lược vĩ mô Russell Napier cho biết, hệ thống ngân hàng vẫn khỏe mạnh, vì vậy thị trường luôn có nhiều tín dụng hơn để tạo ra bong bóng tiếp theo.Tuy nhiên, đầu tư vào AI đang khiến thị trường bước vào khu vực nguy hiểm hơn. Chi tiêu cho trung tâm dữ liệu trong 4 năm tới dự kiến có thể đạt 7 nghìn tỷ đô la, nếu sự gia tăng năng suất do AI mang lại không đủ để hỗ trợ quy mô đầu tư như vậy, việc phân bổ vốn sai có thể gây tổn hại nghiêm trọng cho nền kinh tế.Khi việc xây dựng AI ngày càng phụ thuộc vào tài trợ nợ, một khi đầu tư AI rộng rãi cuối cùng được chứng minh là bong bóng, sự vỡ của nó có thể ảnh hưởng đến hệ thống tài chính, lúc đó toàn bộ thị trường sẽ khó có thể đứng ngoài cuộc.

WSJ: Stablecoins essentially belong to "private currency" and may pose risks to the financial system

The Wall Street Journal published an article pointing out that although the GENIUS Act and the CLARITY Act are promoting the compliance of stablecoins, the essence of stablecoins still belongs to "private currency," which may pose structural risks to the financial system.The article notes that stablecoins aim to combine the stability of the US dollar with the efficiency of blockchain payments, but because they operate on fragmented, privatized infrastructure, they do not possess the unity of the traditional US dollar system. Although USDT and USDC are pegged to the dollar, their prices may still deviate from 1 dollar.In addition, there is an incentive for stablecoin issuers to enhance returns by allocating high-risk, low-liquidity assets. If the value of these related assets declines, it could trigger de-pegging and concentrated redemption risks. The article cites Chainalysis data stating that stablecoins account for 84% of illegal activities in cryptocurrency, mainly involving sanctions evasion and money laundering, while real economic payment scenarios account for less than 1%.The Wall Street Journal believes that stablecoins are replaying the path of private currency experiments from the "Free Banking Era" in 19th century America, and in the future, they may need to accept stricter regulation like banks and integrate more deeply into the central bank system.

Binance denies WSJ's allegations of $850 million Iran-related transactions

The WSJ reported that Binance is accused of processing approximately $850 million in transactions related to financial networks associated with Iranian sanctions over two years, ultimately flowing to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in Iran. In response, Binance CEO Richard Teng posted on the X platform denying the related reports, stating that the reports are "completely inaccurate," emphasizing that Binance does not allow sanctioned entities to trade, and indicating that the suspicious activities occurred before the involved entities were sanctioned by the U.S.The report mentioned that the key figure is Iranian businessman Babak Zanjani, whose related companies and associated accounts are alleged to have operated through the same device, forming a secret payment network on the Binance platform. The report also stated that Binance's internal compliance system had identified abnormal access from Tehran by the end of 2024, triggering multiple risk control alerts, but the related accounts were not closed in a timely manner. The WSJ further pointed out that the Central Bank of Iran and related entities also conducted fund flows through Binance between 2024 and 2025, including approximately $107 million and other cross-border cryptocurrency transactions.Binance reiterated that its compliance system is "industry-leading" and emphasized that it has continued to strengthen its risk control mechanisms after pleading guilty and paying a $4.3 billion settlement in 2023. Additionally, Binance has filed a defamation lawsuit against the WSJ regarding the related reports and denied that the U.S. Department of Justice is investigating it on this matter.

WSJ: Tether may become the biggest loser of the GENIUS Act due to "incomplete compliance"

ChainCatcher news, according to The Wall Street Journal, the upcoming "GENIUS Act" to be passed by the U.S. Congress will incorporate stablecoins into the mainstream financial system, a piece of legislation that has sparked strong interest from startups, banks, and even giants like Walmart.However, under the "GENIUS Act," stablecoin issuers are required to hold reserves in safe assets such as cash and short-term U.S. Treasury bonds, and large issuers must also publish audited annual financial reports. This poses a severe challenge to Tether, which holds a 66% share of the stablecoin market (with a circulation of $156 billion) ------ the company's USDT is currently partially backed by Bitcoin and gold, and it has long refused to fully disclose financial details. Former federal prosecutor Scott Armstrong, who has handled crypto cases, pointed out: "This could lead to Tether being unable to continue operating in the U.S."Tether representatives did not respond to requests for comment. CEO Paolo Ardoino has stated that they may issue localized stablecoins to maintain their U.S. business. The bill sets a transition period for compliance: the Senate version allows a 3-year grace period, while the House's accompanying bill under review requires compliance within 18 months, ultimately needing to be signed into law by President Trump, who supports the bill.

WSJ: Israel is seeking to end the conflict with Iran as soon as possible

ChainCatcher news, according to The Wall Street Journal, officials say that Israel continues to strike at Iran's military infrastructure but is seeking to end the war with Iran as soon as possible. Meanwhile, International Atomic Energy Agency Director General Grossi stated that the U.S. attack on Iran's Fordow uranium enrichment facility is expected to cause "very significant damage."One of the Iranian targets struck by Israel is a prison that holds political prisoners and regime opponents. Tehran's response to the U.S. attack on its nuclear facilities has revealed almost no clues. The clerical leaders of the Iranian regime face a dangerous choice: retaliating against the U.S. could lead to an escalation of war with two militarily stronger adversaries, or returning to nuclear negotiations, during which they may have to make concessions on nuclear enrichment and ballistic missile arsenals—two pillars of national sovereignty.Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, in what appears to be his first comments since the U.S. attack, did not mention the U.S. on the X platform but focused on Israel. He stated that Israel has made a "serious mistake" and is "now being punished."Today, the overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market has slightly improved compared to yesterday, with the fear and greed index at 47 (up from 42 yesterday), indicating a return to "neutral" sentiment in the crypto market. Bitcoin dipped to $98,200 this morning but has since rebounded to $101,359, with the 24-hour decline narrowing to 1.21%.
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