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Kalshi 創始人:預測市場並未受到操縱

2024-10-21 08:15:10

ChainCatcher 消息,前總統特朗普在 Polymarket 上領先副總統卡馬拉·哈里斯 20 個百分點,引發了操縱擔憂。Kalshi 預測市場創始人塔里克·曼蘇爾 (Tarek Mansour) 最近通過提供來自 Kalshi 的可比數據辯稱,這些結果是準確的,而不是無機操縱的結果。

Tarek Mansour 首先駁斥了關於少數大戶正在將勝算偏向特朗普的說法。"對哈里斯的中位數投注額大於對唐納德·特朗普的中位數投注額",哈里斯的中位數投注額為 85 美元,而特朗普的中位數投注額為 58 美元。

該創始人還解釋說,Kalshi 平台上越來越多的個人押注特朗普,Polymarket 上 20 個百分點的領先優勢與 Kalshi 上押注特朗普將贏得 11 月大選的個人數量大致相當。

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