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10x Research:10 年期國債收益率上升及特朗普當選幾率提升,將加劇市場對通脹的擔憂

2024-10-23 19:30:37
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ChainCatcher 消息,10x Research 在社交媒體發文表示,10年期國債收益率自 9 月 FOMC 會議的 3.6% 上升至 4.2%(+60 個基點)。收益率突破 4.0% 的同時,特朗普的選舉概率上升至 60%,加劇了市場對通脹的擔憂。較高的債券收益率通常預示著未來加息次數減少。10 月 4 日,非農就業數據超預期,新增 254k 個工作崗位,隨後特朗普開始競選活動,進一步提升了他的選舉概率。這一收益率上升導致美國小盤股(Russel 2000)和比特幣出現調整。

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