BTC $80,810.28 -0.55%
ETH $2,368.44 -0.56%
BNB $736.02 +0.81%
XRP $1.29 -1.28%
SOL $102.21 -0.92%
TRX $0.3294 +0.49%
DOGE $0.0780 -0.68%
ADA $0.2087 -1.33%
BCH $277.95 +1.42%
LINK $11.72 -1.61%
HYPE $76.66 -0.62%
AAVE $143.38 -2.35%
SUI $0.9488 -2.34%
XLM $0.1719 -1.63%
ZEC $1,175.78 -2.88%
AAPL $347.72 -0.28%
AMZN $248.76 -0.98%
GOOGL $321.33 -1.14%
MSFT $524.41 +0.46%
META $640.96 -1.00%
NVDA $211.28 -0.85%
TSLA $371.87 -0.51%
SNDK $1,233.33 -0.23%
INTC $86.42 +1.23%
SPCX $147.46 +0.18%
MU $874.81 +3.26%
AMD $516.08 +1.59%
BTC $80,810.28 -0.55%
ETH $2,368.44 -0.56%
BNB $736.02 +0.81%
XRP $1.29 -1.28%
SOL $102.21 -0.92%
TRX $0.3294 +0.49%
DOGE $0.0780 -0.68%
ADA $0.2087 -1.33%
BCH $277.95 +1.42%
LINK $11.72 -1.61%
HYPE $76.66 -0.62%
AAVE $143.38 -2.35%
SUI $0.9488 -2.34%
XLM $0.1719 -1.63%
ZEC $1,175.78 -2.88%
AAPL $347.72 -0.28%
AMZN $248.76 -0.98%
GOOGL $321.33 -1.14%
MSFT $524.41 +0.46%
META $640.96 -1.00%
NVDA $211.28 -0.85%
TSLA $371.87 -0.51%
SNDK $1,233.33 -0.23%
INTC $86.42 +1.23%
SPCX $147.46 +0.18%
MU $874.81 +3.26%
AMD $516.08 +1.59%

分析:比特幣期權情緒轉空,市場對跌破 8 萬美元關口預期概率上升

2026-01-31 16:08:55

ChainCatcher 消息,隨著現貨比特幣 ETF 資金持續流出,比特幣期權市場釋放出明顯的看空信號,市場對 BTC 跌破 8 萬美元的預期概率有所上升。

在衍生品市場,比特幣期權 delta skew 指標一度升至 17%,創一年多新高,顯著高於中性市場下通常不超過 6% 的水平,反映出極端避險情緒。此外,比特幣期貨總未平倉合約已降至 460 億美元,較三個月前的 580 億美元高位明顯下降,顯示過度槓桿正在被逐步出清。整體來看,比特幣衍生品市場情緒偏謹慎,分析認為比特幣能否重新站上 87,000 美元上方可能取決於宏觀經濟不確定性緩和後市場風險偏好能否回升。

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