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Glassnode:鏈上指標顯示 BTC 或接近周期底部,盈虧籌碼趨於收斂

2026-02-04 20:14:57
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ChainCatcher 消息,据 Glassnode 資料顯示,目前約有 1,110 萬枚 BTC 處於盈利狀態(即買入成本低於當前市場價格),約 890 萬枚 BTC 處於虧損狀態。

隨著兩者差距持續縮小,BTC 盈利供應量與虧損供應量對比(Supply in Profit vs Supply in Loss)指標正接近歷史上多次出現的關鍵收斂區間,該指標用於衡量當前處於帳面盈利狀態的錢包數量與處於虧損狀態的錢包數量。

當兩者逐步趨於平衡時,歷史上往往對應市場階段性底部區域,被視為市場投降與長期佈局機會的重要信號,若盈利與虧損供應進一步收斂,可能意味著市場正進入歷史上常見的周期底部構建階段,但仍需結合宏觀流動性、衍生品結構及市場情緒等因素綜合判斷。

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