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BCH $318.25 +2.33%
LINK $14.06 +0.74%
HYPE $90.39 +2.92%
AAVE $181.97 +0.59%
SUI $1.17 +1.62%
XLM $0.2167 +1.32%
ZEC $1,323.49 +0.50%
AAPL $333.52 +0.01%
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BTC $85,087.25 +0.54%
ETH $2,699.80 +0.62%
BNB $789.36 +3.04%
XRP $1.50 +0.85%
SOL $120.93 +1.41%
TRX $0.3348 -0.17%
DOGE $0.0931 +0.64%
ADA $0.2448 +0.69%
BCH $318.25 +2.33%
LINK $14.06 +0.74%
HYPE $90.39 +2.92%
AAVE $181.97 +0.59%
SUI $1.17 +1.62%
XLM $0.2167 +1.32%
ZEC $1,323.49 +0.50%
AAPL $333.52 +0.01%
AMZN $252.31 +0.12%
GOOGL $343.92 +0.03%
MSFT $518.20 +0.19%
META $729.62 +0.15%
NVDA $234.61 +0.03%
TSLA $371.38 +0.13%
SNDK $1,715.90 +0.01%
INTC $118.33 +0.10%
SPCX $159.11 +0.07%
MU $1,067.83 -0.10%
AMD $633.40 +0.09%

分析師:比特幣幂律模型釋放信號,參考目標價或可達 15.78 萬美元

2026-10-04 14:42:43

ChainCatcher 消息,加密分析師 Darkfost 發文表示,過去十年間,比特幣價格圍繞 "幂律 (Power Law)" 趨勢線的波動幅度正在逐漸降低,市場周期波動趨於收斂,振盪指標峰值已從 2018 年的 +169 下降至 2025 年的 +102,其日變化標準差也從 4.81 降至 2.47,跌幅約 49%。

Darkfost 補充稱,截至該模型振盪指標為 +34.5,比特幣價格約為 84,700 美元。根據當日模型參數計算,振盪指標達到 +100 對應的比特幣價格約為 157,800 美元,較當前價格高出約 86%,他同時指出 157,800 美元並非固定目標價,而是基於目前回歸參數計算出的參考水平,如果未來幂律趨勢線繼續上升,該參考價格也將隨之提高。

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