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Project Eleven 警告量子临界点可能“瞬间爆发”,预计最早 2030 年到来

2026-05-07 10:25:59
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ChainCatcher 消息,据 The Block 报道,加密抗量子计算解决方案 Project Eleven 发布报告警告称,量子计算机破解现代加密的临界点“Q-Day”可能最早于 2030 年到来,到 2033 年发生的可能性超过 50%。报告预测量子计算进步将是突发式而非线性渐进,硬件与算法的叠加效应可能导致“要么毫无动静,要么瞬间爆发”的能力跃升。

上月已有研究人员利用量子硬件推导出 15 位椭圆曲线密钥,虽距离破解比特币所用的 256 位加密尚有距离,但构成初步验证。Project Eleven 估计约 690 万枚比特币在特定条件下可能面临量子风险。

 

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