Trump Coin $TRUMP On-Chain Trading Strategy In-Depth Analysis Report

BTX Capital
2025-01-21 12:50:44
Collection
How did $TRUMP become the top player in the crypto space overnight? On January 17, 2025, at 10 PM (Taiwan time), $TRUMP began minting on the Solana chain, with the official liquidity address injecting a total of 10% of the tokens. By 9 AM on January 18, the entire 20% liquidity injection was completed. On the same day at 10:44 AM, a social media post from the soon-to-be President Trump confirmed this.

1. Project Basic Analysis

1.1 Basic Information

  • Token Name: OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP)
  • Issuing Chain: Solana
  • Token Address: 6p6xgHyF7AeE6TZkSmFsko444wqoP15icUSqi2jfGiPN
  • Issuing Method: Multi-signature wallet minting

1.2 Token Economic Model

  • Maximum Supply: 1B (1 billion)
  • Circulating Supply: 200M (200 million)
  • Issuing Period: 36 months
  • TGE Unlock Ratio: 20% (Liquidity Pool + Public Allocation)

2. Token Distribution Structure Analysis

2.1 Distribution Ratio Details

  1. Core Distribution (72%)
  • Creators & CIC Digital 1: 36% (360M)
  • Creators & CIC Digital 2: 18% (180M)
  • Creators & CIC Digital 3: 18% (180M)
  1. Market Operations (20%)
  • Liquidity Pool: 10% (100M)
  • Public Allocation: 10% (100M)
  1. Other Allocations (8%)
  • Creators & CIC Digital 4: 4% (40M)

  • Creators & CIC Digital 5: 2% (20M)

  • Creators & CIC Digital 6: 2% (20M)

Allocation Chart

2.2 Unlock Mechanism Analysis

2.2.1 Linear Unlock Group (80% of total)

2.2.2 Immediate Unlock Group (20% of total)

  • Liquidity Pool (10%): Unlocked immediately at TGE
  • Public Allocation (10%): Unlocked immediately at TGE

3. Market Behavior Analysis

3.1 Key Timeline Analysis

Summary of Major Events:

  • January 17, Taiwan Time

  • 22:01 - Trump token minted on the Solana network

  • 22:27 - [Official Liquidity Address] begins injecting liquidity, injecting 100,000,000 TRUMP (10% of total tokens)

  • 22:58:36 - Official website \<https://gettrumpmemes.com/> goes live ([Reference] as basis)

  • January 18, Taiwan Time

  • 09:01 - Liquidity injection completed

  • 10:01 - [First large transaction ($1,096,109) occurs]

  • 10:44 - [Trump social media post]

  • 19:00-23:00 - First wave of exchanges intensively launch perpetual contracts (Gate.io, Hyperliquid, Bitget, HTX, Binance, Bybit)

  • January 19, Taiwan Time

  • 3:30-15:20 - Second wave of exchanges intensively launch spot trading (Kraken, OKX, Binance, Bybit, Coinbase)

3.2 Liquidity Deployment Analysis (Initial Liquidity in Meteora)

Initial Liquidity Configuration (Meteora Pool):

  • TRUMP/USDC Pool: 100,000,000 TRUMP / 0 USDC
  • TRUMP/SOL Pool: 0 TRUMP / 50 SOL

Characteristics:

  1. Dual pool strategy
  2. Conservative initial pricing
  3. Reserved price discovery space

3.3 Suspicious Trading Behavior Analysis

1. Time Characteristics

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  • Capital Deployment: 4 hours before opening
  • Position Building Timing: Entering in the first minute
  • Profit Taking Operations: Conducted in batches

2. Operational Techniques

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  • Initial Position Building: $1 million scale

*

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  • Profit Scale: Over $20 million cashed out

3. Trading Information

*

4. Exchange Listing Strategy Analysis

4.1 Listing Time Distribution

(Based on the announcement time of each exchange as the listing timeline (Taiwan Time))

January 18

January 19

  • Kraken spot listing January 19, 3:33
  • OKX spot trading January 19, 11:00
  • OKX perpetual contract January 19, 11:40
  • Coinbase spot listing January 19, 11:50
  • Binance spot listing January 19, 12:05 - Listing Announcement (January 19, 16:30)

January 20

  • Robinhood spot listing January 20, 13:16

4.2 Listing Characteristics

  1. Variety of Choices:
  • Spot trading
  • Perpetual contracts
  • Leverage trading
  1. Timing Rhythm:
  • Rapid coverage of mainstream exchanges
  • Intensive listing of all mainstream exchanges within 48 hours
  • Perpetual contracts prioritized over spot listings

5. Risk Analysis

5.1 Token Economic Risks

  1. Concentration Risk
  • 80% of tokens controlled by the core team
  • Long unlocking period (36 months)
  • Large average daily unlocking amount in the future
  1. Liquidity Risk
  • Initial liquidity configuration is unbalanced
  • Large holding addresses concentrated

5.2 Market Operation Risks

  1. Insider Trading Risk
  • Early capital deployment
  • Large buy operations
  • Distributed profit-taking
  1. Price Volatility Risk
  • Intensive listing of exchanges in the short term
  • Strong speculative sentiment
  • Continuous unlocking pressure
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