The probability of the U.S. government ending the shutdown on Polymarket surged from a low point to 66% 11 days ago

Polymarket data on the end date of the U.S. government shutdown shows that the most strongly predicted end date by the market is between November 8 and 11, with the probability of this option skyrocketing from a low point to 66% in the past 24 hours.

The probability for an end date between November 12 and 15 has sharply dropped from a high of 21%.

The pessimistic prediction probability for an end date on November 16 and beyond is the lowest at 7.2%.