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Tonight, the United States will release a series of employment data, and the probability of an interest rate cut has reached 94%

2025-12-04 18:19:49

According to the schedule, at 20:30 tonight, the number of layoffs by U.S. Challenger Companies for November will be announced; at 21:30, the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending November 29 will be released, with an expected value of 220,000.

In addition, at 23:00, the U.S. Global Supply Chain Pressure Index for November and the U.S. Factory Orders Month-on-Month for September will also be announced.

Although tonight's employment data is relatively important, the market is currently heavily betting on a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December. As of the time of writing, the probability of this event on Polymarket has reached 94%.

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