Data: The probability of "the U.S. government shutting down again before January 31" on Polymarket is close to 80%
Polymarket data shows that the probability of the U.S. government shutting down again before January 31 soared to 80% over the weekend, up from just 9% on January 24, and currently stands at 77%.
Previous reports indicated that Senate Democrats would rather let most government agencies shut down than vote in favor of a funding proposal that includes immigration enforcement funding.
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