The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in March is 86.6%, while the probability of a rate cut is 13.4%

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 13.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 86.6%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 25.5%, the probability of keeping the rate unchanged is 72.2%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 2.2%.