The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 78.3%, while the probability of a rate cut is 21.7%

According to Jinshi reports, the CME "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 78.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 21.7%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 35.7%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 58.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 5.4%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 49%.