The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 95.5%

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 4.5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 95.5%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 17.7%, the probability of maintaining rates is 81.7%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 0.7%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 41.5%.