The U.S. cryptocurrency market structure bill has entered a critical phase, with NYDIG warning that June to August is the final legislative window

Greg Cipolaro, research director at financial services firm NYDIG, stated that the most realistic window for the U.S. Senate's cryptocurrency market structure bill to pass is from June to early August. If it cannot be advanced during this period, it may face uncertainty for an even longer time after the midterm elections.

Previously, White House cryptocurrency advisor Patrick Witt suggested July 4 as an ideal legislative timeline, but NYDIG believes this target is more of an "optimistic expectation," as it needs to go through multiple hurdles such as committee review, full Senate voting, and House processes. The bill aims to clarify the regulatory framework for cryptocurrency assets in the U.S. and is seen as one of the most critical pieces of legislation this year, but has been delayed multiple times due to disagreements over stablecoin regulation, ethical provisions, and DeFi rules.

The Senate Banking Committee has advanced the relevant draft to a full Senate vote, but it still requires at least 60 votes to pass. Analysts point out that if the bill does not pass before the election cycle, changes in Senate control between Republicans and Democrats may further reduce legislative certainty, keeping the industry in a "regulatory gray area." However, once the bill is finally passed and signed into law, it will bring regulatory clarity to the market, especially as Bitcoin is expected to be clearly classified as a commodity, thereby reducing uncertainty for institutional entry.