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Catcher Predict: "Will the ceasefire in Iran last until...?" "June 15" Winning rate plummets by 16.5%

2026-05-23 03:00:09

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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Will the Iran ceasefire last until…?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "June 15" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 68.5% an hour ago to the current 52% (a fluctuation of 16.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

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Polymarket prediction market volatility

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