Polymarket "Anthropic will go public before September 30" probability drops to 30%, down 37% in 24 hours

The probability on Polymarket that "Anthropic will go public before September 30" has dropped to 30%, a 37% decrease in 24 hours. Additionally, the probability that "Anthropic will go public before December 31" is currently reported at 89%. Anthropic announced that it has privately submitted its IPO application in the U.S., getting ahead of its competitor OpenAI in the listing process.

In a statement, Anthropic said that submitting the prospectus "grants us the right to choose to go public after the SEC completes its review," and emphasized that "the proposed initial public offering will depend on market conditions and other factors." According to market news, the earliest possible listing time for Anthropic could be this fall, but it has not disclosed the size and terms of the offering.