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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a rate hike in September reaches 50.5%

2026-06-25 20:18:43
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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 34.2%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 32%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 50.5%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 17.6%.

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