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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 73.3%, and the probability of a rate hike in September is 52.7%

2026-07-08 06:33:43

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 73.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 26.7%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 32.4%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 52.7%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 14.9%.

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