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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 66.3%, and the probability of a rate hike in September is 51.1%

2026-07-11 06:05:42

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 66.3%, while the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 33.7%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 31%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 51.1%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 18%.

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