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The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 63.7%, and the probability of a rate hike in September has increased

2026-07-27 05:56:41

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 63.7%, while the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 36.3%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged drops to 19.6%, while the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points rises to 55.2%, and the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 50 basis points is 25.2%.

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