1confirmation founder talks about Situational Awareness crisis: "Smart money" is making the same mistakes again

Nick Tomaino, founder of 1confirmation, commented on the AI investment fund Situational Awareness regarding the recent discussions surrounding the fund, reflecting a long-standing issue in the investment community: many so-called "elites" and "smart money" lack basic risk judgment capabilities.

Tomaino stated that he does not understand all the details of the incident and does not wish to comment on the specific liquidation process, but he believes that a deeper issue is that many investors, driven by wealth and attention, gradually ignore facts, risks, and judgments about others.

He cited the collapse of FTX as an example, noting that many people could sense something was off after brief interactions with the founder, but a large amount of "smart money" chose to continue investing and endorsing it in pursuit of returns and market narratives.

Tomaino pointed out that the founders of Situational Awareness and the investment circles supporting the fund exhibited similar phenomena: investors of the same type chased grand narratives, provided funding, and promoted publicity, but ultimately the fund fell into trouble due to high-risk bets and market reversals. Industry participants learned lessons to avoid repeating the cycle of "chasing trends—ignoring risks—collectively stepping on landmines."