Glassnode: BTC has dropped to around $62,600, spot demand is weak but long-term holders remain resilient

Glassnode released the report "BTC Market Pulse: Week 32," stating that Bitcoin has recently fallen to around $62,600, with weak spot demand and rising defensive sentiment in the derivatives market. However, increased on-chain activity, confidence among long-term holders, and ETF capital inflows continue to support the market.

The report pointed out that Bitcoin previously failed to maintain the rebound after breaking through $66,000 and has now retreated from the $65,000 range. The current price trend reflects a weakening of spot momentum, with sustained net selling pressure and low trading activity keeping the market in a consolidation phase lacking clear breakthrough momentum.

In the derivatives market, the overall open interest has decreased, but the funding rate for perpetual contracts has rebounded, and active selling volume has eased. The options market remains defensive, with the 25 Delta skew widening, indicating increased demand for downside protection among investors, while speculative open interest continues to decline. The ETF market has shown improvement, with net inflows and trading volume both rebounding in the past week, indicating that institutional investors are reallocating funds through regulated channels.

Regarding on-chain data, Glassnode noted that Bitcoin network activity has significantly increased, with the number of daily active addresses and adjusted transfer volume both breaking through the upper limit of the statistical range, indicating an increase in network usage and economic activity. At the same time, new capital inflows have slightly increased, and capital outflow pressure has eased. In terms of holding structure, the supply ratio of short-term holders to long-term holders remains close to historical lows, showing that long-term investors still maintain strong confidence.

However, the overall profitability of the market continues to decline, with the proportion of profitable supply nearing a cyclical low, and investor spending behavior is more defensive, reflecting stop-loss strategies. Glassnode concluded that the current Bitcoin market is in a transitional phase, with stability among long-term holders, increased on-chain activity, and a rebound in ETF demand providing structural support. However, valuation pressure, insufficient spot momentum, and defensive positions in derivatives still limit market risk appetite.